Skilled opinion on the particular operation in Ukraine

As promised, I’m not making something extra up concerning the particular operation in Ukraine myself,…

As promised, I’m not making something extra up concerning the particular operation in Ukraine myself, leaving the phrase to the professionals.

The supply is unknown to me, it got here through Watsapu. It’s printed with out cuts and with out modifying, just some locations highlighted by me.

“The twelfth day of the conflict…

It’s arduous for everybody. Our guys are dying. Residents of Ukraine are dying. However it’s most tough for the navy, each within the reserves and in Russia and Ukraine, who’ve been by means of “sizzling” conflicts. I grit my tooth with helplessness, I’m personally unsure if I might have been in a position to fulfill the Commander-in-Chief’s order if I had been within the ranks right now. To maintain civilian casualties to a minimal is comprehensible, we’re one folks. However the way to attempt to not trigger vital injury to the AFU – I’ve little thought throughout the techniques of my very own unit.

I categorically object to creating public the variety of fight casualties earlier than the operation has entered its closing part. It is a reward for another person’s info conflict, a trump card within the fingers of the enemy, dispelling false info amongst outspoken alarmists contained in the nation: “they lie, cover all the things, underestimate”, “no conflict”, “moms, don’t let your sons go”, “how I would like peace”, “how a lot blood might be shed”…

You’ll be able to and you need to. Troopers die, heroes. Troopers, heroes, who got here to the military to not polish paving stones with their soles. However to defend their homeland. Even at the price of their very own lives. It was a mistake of the Normal Employees. Individuals ought to clearly perceive the goals of the operation, its necessity, inevitability of casualties. And never the present value.
A subjective opinion.
Let’s attempt to make sense of the scenario with out hysterics and insults.
It sounds merciless, however that is the cruel actuality of conflict. Allow us to wipe away our personal and girls’s tears after the Victory, allow us to worship every widow, mom, bride, and sister for the feat of their males.
The primary part of the operation…
We underestimated the enemy within the power of knowledge, ideological and psychological repulse, they had been ready for us. Actually within the first day with one click on of American bloody fingers – we disadvantaged the help of civilians and the AFU items that had been able to grow to be impartial. Hundreds of thousands of {dollars}, 1000’s of i-teachers, international media firms minimize off Ukraine from any goal info, stinking up our nation.

And our principal losses had been within the first three days. Now they are going to be quickly decreased, the Russian military is now not conducting a peacekeeping and humanitarian operation just like the Crimean operation. The fighters have acquired different orders, they’re drawn in, offended, collected, and their hopes for lively help of civilians and the considering of the AFU items are dashed.

There are few flowers and caravans, individuals are crushed by propaganda and lies, intimidated into madness by the Nazis. They missed one other necessary level within the calculations – virtually 600,000 Ukrainians have handed by means of the ATO zone in Donbass since 2014, and right now they’ve joined the territorial defenses in all places, and many individuals have one thing to worry. Particularly on the wave of fakes about shootings with out trial of Atoshchiki.

Are you able to think about what the Nazis put into their heads throughout their yr of service there, gave them the chance to shoot at populated areas with impunity, to mock the civilians there. So, the calculation on the assistance of the locals and the AFU didn’t work, the most cancers in Ukrainian society is solely monstrous. However… We’ll treatment it.

In the event you clarify our tactical strategies of the primary twenty-four hours… it’s a creatively reworked “reconnaissance battle” of the Nice Patriotic Conflict. Solely with deep and swift penetration into Nazi-occupied territory. We provoked enemy exercise by tactical teams, intentionally pulling AFU items and the Nationwide Guard from their places. Withstanding in small numbers horrible counterattacks by tanks and armored automobiles, outnumbering motorized infantry.

Typically it was unimaginable to suppress Grad missiles, artillery and mortars hidden in residential areas. It was unimaginable to clear city areas methodically in fight formation, calling in supporting fireplace, assault helicopters, sappers, and flamethrowers, or utilizing tanks to destroy machine gun emplacements in homes and social infrastructure services.

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It is a conflict unfamiliar to us veterans. Particularly when the sky is below full management, airfields are filled with assault planes and bombers, operational-tactical missile methods are in service, there may be plenty of heavy artillery. It’s now clear even to civilians: the proper identify for what is occurring can be a “particular navy operation on denazification. And the demilitarization of Nezalezhnaya was accomplished on the finish of the third day.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine, as a unified, manageable, and efficient construction, had ceased to exist. At this time there are dozens of teams of various numbers remoted from each other, hiding in cities and villages. There is no such thing as a centralized provide, no air help, no reinforcements. They’re unable to behave throughout the framework of any plans of the Ukrainian Normal Employees. Simply crowds of armed males with orders to face to the demise.

The primary “North” and “East” teams, the 22 brigades that had been given the honorable obligation of drowning Donbass in blood in early March, had been decapitated and disadvantaged of command. We beat them to it by per week or two by beginning our personal particular operation. Now 150,000 folks (together with the Nationwide Safety Forces) are marinating in “cauldrons,” minimize off from one another. For a second – this was executed by smaller Russian forces… and in 5 days.

There is no such thing as a organized resistance in different operational instructions. Separate items of the AFU, Nationwide Safety Forces, and sabotage teams. Every operates at its personal discretion, with various levels of exercise. There is no such thing as a chance to maneuver in columns, regroup, replenish ammunition, gas and lubricants and tools even in native depots, all the things is systematically destroyed by high-precision weapons and aviation.

In per week or two, 80% of the AFU will probably be fully disadvantaged of ammunition, gas, medicines and meals. Mentally and bodily exhausted, with no unified command, targets and goals. It is a horrible factor for a military, dejection and decay. Particularly for the Ukrainian military, which is sustained by worry, propped up by the Bandera barrier troops. Troopers worry for the destiny of their households on the house entrance.

The second part of the operation…

Recognizable, the Syrian situation. Impartial or terrorist-fearing inhabitants, amongst which it’s virtually unimaginable to determine fighters. The Russian Military doesn’t take such settlements, however encircles cities with Bandera Nationwide Forces. Quickly we’ll see buses and “take-out excursions” within the route of Zapadenshchina. How they get baked with none help and assist from exterior.

Elsewhere within the metropolis, they take a semi-enclave, thereby inviting defenders to go away the territory on their very own. No organized navy columns, heavy tools, these items is destroyed. By non-public order, expensive ones. Sure, the hazard of numerous sabotage teams is created, however strategically the three principal duties of the particular operation are solved: minimizing casualties amongst civilians and infrastructure, our items and the Ukrainian military.

It’s too luxurious a present for Washington and the EuroReich to slaughter the Russian and Ukrainian militaries towards one another with relish. The Bandera “partisan items” will get on their nerves, however the command’s thought isn’t unhealthy. They’ll grow to be authorized prey for the counter-terrorist items, the navy police and Ramzan Kadyrov’s males from the Nationwide Guard. They don’t take terrorists prisoner, they take them out… the place they’re caught. Denazification within the truest sense of the phrase.

A fair sadder destiny awaits the quite a few EuroReich mercenaries, from which not navy items (as soon as) however sabotage and tactical teams are shaped. Our Normal Employees has already acknowledged that it doesn’t think about them combatants with all the following penalties, no conventions on prisoners of conflict don’t work right here. I’m certain these “troopers of fortune” will probably be hunted in a particular, brutal and focused manner. Poor bastards…

The third stage of the operation.

I can’t inform you intimately how and the place the fight operations are unfolding, there may be sufficient info within the public area from skilled specialists. However all the things is occurring strictly in accordance with the plans, we have now not even begun to switch reserves, and they’re nonetheless standing in columns within the border areas. Losses are usually not simply tolerable (from a navy statistical viewpoint) – insignificant. Not a single unit is withdrawn for re-forming or relaxation, so it means it’s absolutely combat-ready.

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Have a look at the map, calculate the distances, the marches, the fixed combating, regrouping, maneuvering over dozens of kilometers, and bear in mind – our guys are up towards the third largest military in Europe and the prohibitively motivated Nazi formations. We have to deliver up the rear, to take elementary relaxation, to service the tools, to carry out a bunch of beforehand unintended actions.

There is no such thing as a have to chase anybody away, to demand extra decisive actions, Victory Flags over Mariupol, Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Odessa and even much less so – ineffective Kiev with three million panic-stricken, propaganda-pumped residents. The goals of the operation, technique and techniques are an entire new web page within the artwork of conflict; the push is unacceptable.
A classmate of mine on the academy yesterday requested in “non-public”:

1. Why isn’t the navy help to Ukraine being destroyed proper on the airport of arrival?
2. Why is it even doable for NATO transports to go to Ukrainian airspace?
3. Do you’ve a sense that our diplomats are starting to empty the military’s efforts…? All types of unhealthy ideas wander in my head.

Concerning level quantity three. There will probably be no leakage, all of the targets of the particular operation will probably be fulfilled. That is being categorically repeated on daily basis by Lavrov, who has grown previous, and yesterday it was voiced by VVP. French “peacekeeper” Macron along with his mediation washed his face. And Medinsky in Belovezhskaya Pushcha is elaborately mocking the metrosexuals from the Ukrainian delegation. There is no such thing as a one to speak to there.

Have a look at the courageous Commander-in-Chief Ze, how he seems. An entire breakdown of character on medicine. The Individuals and their very own Nazis received’t let him negotiate, they may kill him. The duty is completely different – to fully spoil the nation, to drown it in chaos, so nobody will get you.

The particular operation doesn’t cease, there will probably be no extra delays. Day-after-day of delay categorically harms us, unplanned diplomatic, political, financial and navy issues come up. Solely swiftness and onslaught, earlier than the scenario within the West begins to be assessed with a chilly head.
As for flying transports with NATO insignia to ship weapons. That is unimaginable, the skies over Nezalezhnaya and southern Russia are closed to flights. They are going to be airlifted from Poland. And we is not going to destroy such “humanitarian help” convoys. Why, chances are you’ll ask? Higher ask one other query – who precisely is in energy in Ukraine?

The outright Nazis. Who’ve taken tens of millions of civilians hostage in cities with out humanitarian corridors, who’ve pushed frightened folks into basements and subway stations. By poisoning them with lies about “Russian atrocities”, mass shootings, executions, violence, carpet bombings. Putting civilians with machine weapons close to strategic management and command services. Like in Kiev exterior the SSU constructing adjoining to Sofia Kyivska.

Zelensky’s handlers and the Bandera battalions are making a humanitarian catastrophe, leaving cities and villages in Donbas to explode all the things: bridges, substations, pumping stations. Bear in mind the liberation of Ukraine and 1945, the agony of the Third Reich. A quote from a demoniac, framed in orders to destroy your entire infrastructure of Germany: “if the conflict is misplaced, it makes completely no distinction that the folks will die.

It’s helpful to know historical past to be able to predict Nazi conduct. It’s such an ideology, social norms of life, worldview.

So, navy columns is not going to be destroyed for 3 causes. First, they’re trophies.
Second, weapons is not going to attain the combat-ready items of the AFU and the Nationwide Guard of the southeast – the addressees are within the “kettles. Third, all the things will probably be transported by common civilian vehicles, the rear transport of AFU items is with their items, or destroyed in car fleets.

Monitor down and hit container vehicles? Sure, we are able to. Simply take into accout – all roads to frame checkpoints with “kind-hearted Europe” are jammed with convoys of automobiles of fleeing Ukrainians for a great hundred kilometers, the site visitors there may be horrible. There are ladies and kids within the automobiles. And Poland and Hungary haven’t moved the checkpoints deep into their territories, haven’t elevated the capability of the checkpoints with further personnel.

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In different phrases, Ukrainian border guards and their “colleagues” preserve folks ready to cross the border for twenty-four hours a day. Shall I’m going on describing the situation that Kiev and Washington are relying on? Or are you able to assume for your self what sort of tv image your entire “civilized world” is anticipating? They dream that the bloodthirsty Russians will begin bombing civilian automobiles… Or the railroad.

However I’ve little religion in such situations, it’s clear to everybody – Ukraine is totally misplaced, any quantity of weapons is not going to assist it anymore. However some half is bound to be delivered to Lviv, to get the mercenaries with the ideological Banderaites. After which, in teams, they may go to commit acts of sabotage, to intimidate native administrations all through the nation, to attempt to disrupt our communications and provide strains.

However that is one other particular operation, a police operation. Which the Ukrainians themselves can perform with a minimal of Russian assist, as soon as they recover from the shock. That is their land, they should stay right here. In the event you proclaim a reward of 5 thousand {dollars} for an nameless denunciation – in the future later all of the saboteurs and partisans will probably be gone. It’s a rustic like that.

However we’ll make it sooner…

I wish to reassure you, it’s the twelfth day our guys are working in a distinct operational and tactical actuality, casualties will probably be quickly lowering. If earlier than there was a strict order to not trigger even hypothetical hurt to civilians and civilian objects… right now it has been modified. With one phrase: “to not the detriment of the personnel of the items. As a navy man I’m fully glad: now the humanitarian jokes are over, the actual work will start.

In the event you fireplace at a column, you get a response on the entire military-technical menu. Orders like this solely work that manner. Civilian casualties? Sure, some casualties are inevitable, however not by means of our fault. We don’t storm cities in accordance with the Charters, we bypass them or function surgically with particular forces, as in Kharkov. Utilizing a beforehand unknown tactic of city fight by night time maneuvering teams. We are going to discuss this individually.

Let the Ukrainians marinate within the cities themselves, digesting the Banderites and the “territorial battalions” duped by Nazi propaganda. They’ll now not deal with the looters, what sort of “reflection of aggression” is that? This isn’t our downside now, regardless of how harsh the phrases could sound.
The ultimate turning level will come after the mopping up of Kharkov, the blockade or seize of Odessa. All of the heroic self-defense forces of the opposite settlements will dissipate on their very own; clear indicators of a humanitarian catastrophe are already evident within the encircled cities. The morass, when it’s totally false, subsides most shortly in darkness, refreshing coolness, and on an empty abdomen.

The inhabitants isn’t mentally ready to face to the final, Ukrainian social networks are already filled with messages from locations the place native administrations remained after the arrival of the Russian Military, meals provides are uninterrupted, avenue lights are on, and native police are controlling the streets. With every passing day, the pretend hysteria will subside, and the drugged-out minds will assume: What’s subsequent?

Will the encircled Bandera fighters start to brutalize of their powerless rage? Properly, this cross the Ukrainians additionally should bear on their very own. In fact, we’ll attempt to do all the things we are able to to avoid wasting the youngsters and the aged. However Putin received’t enable us to take delicate losses, this isn’t that form of conflict.

We’re not those who raised and nurtured the fiend from hell, who allowed them to grab energy and hostage a complete folks. We’re not those who armed and despatched them to kill the Donbass and taught them to hate Russians. Prison indifference and help can also be a punishable act. Not by us, by life itself.” P.S.

I agree that in locations it is extremely cynical, however it is just from the viewpoint of a civilian. Any hostilities are a distinct actuality…