“Strictly talking, we haven’t began something but.” Russian President Vladimir Putin
The relentless assaults on Ukraine’s electrical grid, fuel-storage models, railway hubs, and Command-and-Management facilities mark the start of a second and extra deadly part of the conflict. The elevated tempo of the high-precision, long-range missile assaults means that Moscow is laying the groundwork for a significant winter offensive that shall be launched as quickly as Russia’s 300,000 reservists be part of their formations in east Ukraine. Kiev’s refusal to barter a settlement that addresses Russia’s core safety issues, has left Russian president Vladimir Putin with no different choice however to defeat Ukrainian forces on the battlefield and impose a settlement by means of force-of-arms. The upcoming winter offensive is designed to ship the knock-out punch Russia wants to realize its strategic aims and convey the conflict to swift finish. That is from Reuters:
Russian missile strikes have crippled virtually half of Ukraine’s vitality system, the federal government stated on Friday, and authorities within the capital Kyiv warned that town might face a “full shutdown” of the facility grid as winter units in.
With temperatures falling and Kyiv seeing its first snow, officers have been working to revive energy nationwide after a number of the heaviest bombardment of Ukrainian civilian infrastructure in 9 months of conflict.
The United Nations says Ukraine’s electrical energy and water shortages threaten a humanitarian catastrophe this winter.
“Sadly Russia continues to hold out missile strikes on Ukraine’s civilian and significant infrastructure. Virtually half of our vitality system is disabled,” Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal stated….
“We’re getting ready for various situations, together with a whole shutdown,” Mykola Povoroznyk, deputy head of the Kyiv metropolis administration, stated in televised feedback.” (“Ukraine says half its vitality system crippled by Russian assaults, Kyiv might ‘shutdown’”, Reuters)
Till not too long ago, Russia had prevented targets that will dramatically affect civilian actions, however now navy leaders have returned to a extra typical method. Presently, the navy is destroying no matter services, transformers, storage models, substations, rail yards and vitality depots that permit Ukraine to proceed to wage conflict. Clearly –as the larger and extra highly effective state — it was at all times inside Russia’s means to take a sledgehammer to Ukraine and break it into 1,000,000 items, however Putin selected to carry again hoping that Kiev would come to its senses and see the hopelessness of its trigger. And –regardless of the deluge of western propaganda on the contrary– the end result of this conflict has by no means been doubtful. Russia goes to impose a settlement on Kiev and that settlement would require the federal government to chop all ties with NATO and to signal a treaty declaring its neutrality into perpetuity. Russia is just not going to permit a hostile navy alliance to put its missile websites and fight troops on its western flank. That received’t occur.
Sadly, Russia’s navy operation goes to enormously improve the struggling of the Ukrainian individuals who discover themselves locked in a cage-match between the Washington and Moscow. That is from the World Socialist Net Web site:
Poverty in Ukraine has elevated greater than tenfold for the reason that outbreak of the US/NATO-Russia conflict, in response to the newest information from the World Financial institution (WB). Formally, 25 p.c of the nation’s inhabitants is now poor, up from supposedly simply 2 p.c earlier than February 2022… With officers predicting that the poverty price might rise to as a lot as 60 p.c or extra subsequent yr, ranges of deprivation are rising in Ukraine that haven’t been witnessed on the European continent for the reason that finish of World Battle II.
Unemployment is now working at 35 p.c, and salaries have fallen by as a lot as 50 p.c over the spring and summer season for some classes of employees. … in response to the Worldwide Financial Fund, Ukraine’s public debt has now soared to 85 p.c of GDP…. A not too long ago launched joint examine by the World Well being Group and Ukraine’s Ministry of Well being discovered that 22 p.c of individuals in Ukraine can’t entry important medicines. For the nation’s 6.9 million internally displaced, that quantity rises to 33 p.c.
…The medicines which might be hardest to get—people who deal with blood stress, coronary heart issues and ache, in addition to sedatives and antibiotics—reveal a inhabitants struggling to deal with a long time of poverty-induced in poor health well being and the bodily and psychological trauma of conflict.
Whereas US and NATO officers are capable of dispatch huge quantities of firepower to Ukraine’s entrance traces inside a matter of weeks, the supply of life-saving humanitarian items is seemingly an inconceivable logistical problem.” (“Poverty skyrockets in Ukraine”, World Socialist Net Web site)
Washington’s proxy-war on Moscow has inflicted incalculable struggling on the folks of Ukraine who now face plunging temperatures, dwindling meals provides, a crashing economic system and a rising scarcity of important medicines. And regardless of the chest-thumping bravado over the recapturing of Kherson, the Ukrainian folks will now be compelled to flee their battered homeland by the hundreds of thousands searching for refuge in Europe which has already slipped right into a post-industrial hunch introduced on by Uncle Sam’s reckless provocations. What number of of those working-class Ukrainians would have most well-liked that their leaders attain an lodging with Putin (concerning his respectable safety issues) moderately than partaking the Russian military in a pointless conflict which has value them their houses, their jobs, their cities, and (for a lot of) their lives? And do the folks outdoors the nation who declare to “Stand With Ukraine” understand that they’re really supporting the impoverishment and immiseration of hundreds of thousands of civilians which might be caught in a geopolitical crossfire between Washington and Russia? Anybody who genuinely cares about Ukraine ought to assist Ukrainian neutrality and an finish to NATO growth. That’s the solely means this conflict goes to finish. Russian safety shall be achieved by-way of a treaty or an iron-fist. The selection is Ukraine’s. That is from an article titled ‘Russia Is Proper: The U.S. Is Waging a Proxy Battle in Ukraine‘:
“The conflict in Ukraine isn’t only a battle between Moscow and Kyiv, Russian International Minister Sergei Lavrov not too long ago declared. It’s a “proxy conflict” wherein the world’s strongest navy alliance … is utilizing Ukraine as a battering ram towards the Russian state … Lavrov is … not fallacious. Russia is the goal of one of the crucial ruthlessly successfully proxy wars in trendy historical past.”
The US overseas coverage institution doesn’t care about Ukraine or the Ukrainian folks. The nation is merely a launching pad for Washington’s conflict on Russia. That’s the reason the CIA toppled the democratically-elected authorities in Kiev in 2014 and that’s the reason the CIA armed and educated Ukrainian paramilitaries to battle the Russian navy in 2015 (7 years earlier than the invasion!) Right here’s some background from a 2015 article at Yahoo Information:
“The CIA is overseeing a secret intensive coaching program within the U.S. for elite Ukrainian particular operations forces and different intelligence personnel, in response to 5 former intelligence and nationwide safety officers aware of the initiative. This system, which began in 2015, is predicated at an undisclosed facility within the Southern U.S., in response to a few of these officers….
“America is coaching an insurgency,” stated a former CIA official, including that this system has taught the Ukrainians how “to kill Russians.”
…the CIA and different U.S. businesses might assist a Ukrainian insurgency, ought to Russia launch a large-scale incursion.
…“We’ve been coaching these guys now for eight years. They’re actually good fighters. …representatives from each international locations additionally imagine that Russia received’t be capable of maintain on to new territory indefinitely due to stiff resistance from Ukrainian insurgents, in response to former officers.
If the Russians launch a brand new invasion, “there’s going to be individuals who make their life depressing,” stated the previous senior intelligence official…
“All that stuff that occurred to us in Afghanistan,” stated the previous senior intelligence official, “they’ll anticipate to see that in spades with these guys.” (“CIA-trained Ukrainian paramilitaries might take central function if Russia invades”, Yahoo Information)
There it’s in black and white. The plan to make use of Ukraine as a staging-ground for conducting a proxy-war on Russia preceded the invasion by no less than 7 years. The Obama administration and their neocon allies set a lure for Russia with the intention to drag them into an Afghanistan-like quagmire that will deplete their assets and kill as many Russian servicemen as attainable. As Protection Secretary Lloyd Austin not too long ago admitted, the US desires to “weaken” Russia so it’s unable to venture energy past its borders. Washington seeks unhindered entry to Central Asia so it might probably encircle China with navy bases and nuclear missiles. The US intends to regulate China’s progress whereas dominating the world’s most populous and affluent area of the subsequent century, Asia. However first, Washington should crush Russia, collapse its economic system, isolate it from the worldwide neighborhood, demonize it in its media, and topple its leaders. Ukraine is seen as the primary part in a much wider technique geared toward regime change (in Moscow) adopted by the compelled fragmentation of the Russian state. The final word goal is the preservation of Washington’s preeminent function within the world order.
Putin’s winter offensive threatens to derail Washington’s plan to pull the battle out for so long as attainable. Within the weeks and months forward, Russia goes to accentuate its assault on Ukraine’s vital infrastructure. A lot of the nation shall be plunged into darkness, gasoline provides will dry up, meals and water will turn into scarcer, communications shall be minimize off, and all rail-traffic will stop. Thousands and thousands of civilians will flee to Europe whereas the complete nation slowly grinds to a standstill. On the similar time that Russian battalions overtake cities and cities east of the Dnieper, the Russian military will block very important supply-lines from Poland slicing off the circulate of deadly weaponry and fight troops headed to the entrance. This, in flip, will result in widespread capitulation amongst Ukrainian combating models working within the discipline which can power Zelensky to the negotiating desk. Finally, Russia will prevail and its respectable safety calls for shall be met. Right here’s how Colonel Douglas MacGregor summed it up in a latest interview:
“What’s coming sooner or later is a really huge offensive... the form of offensive that I and plenty of different navy analysts anticipated at the start; Very decisive operations, a number of operational axes designed to successfully annihilate the enemy on the bottom. And that’s what’s coming now, that’s what lies sooner or later.” (Colonel Douglas MacGregor, “Battle in Ukraine; Quiet Earlier than the Storm”, you tube)
When the bottom freezes, Russia’s offensive will start.