On Ukraine, the World Majority Sides With Russia Over US

2014 noticed two pivotal occasions that led to the present battle in Ukraine. The primary,…

2014 noticed two pivotal occasions that led to the present battle in Ukraine.

The primary, acquainted to all, was the coup in Ukraine wherein a democratically elected authorities was overthrown on the path of the USA and with the help of neo-Nazi components which Ukraine has lengthy harbored.

Shortly thereafter the primary photographs within the current warfare had been fired on the Russian-sympathetic Donbass area by the newly put in Ukrainian authorities. The shelling of the Donbass which claimed 14,000 lives has continued for 8 years, regardless of makes an attempt at a cease-fire underneath the Minsk accords which Russia, France and Germany agreed upon however Ukraine backed by the US refused to implement. On February 24, 2022, Russia lastly responded to the slaughter in Donbass and the specter of NATO on its doorstep.

Russia Turns to the East – China Gives an Different Financial Powerhouse.

The second pivotal occasion of 2014 was much less observed and actually hardly ever talked about within the Western mainstream media. In November of that yr in response to the IMF, China’s GDP surpassed that of the U.S. in buying energy parity phrases (PPP GDP). (This measure of GDP is calculated and printed by the IMF, World Financial institution and even the CIA. College students of worldwide relations like economics Nobel Laureate, Joseph Stiglitz, Graham Allison and plenty of others think about this metric one of the best measure of a nation’s comparative financial energy.) One one who took be aware and who usually mentions China’s standing within the PPP-GDP rating is none apart from Russia’s President Vladimir Putin.

From one perspective, the Russian motion in Ukraine represents a decisive flip away from the hostile West to the extra dynamic East and the World South. This follows a long time of importuning the West for a peaceable relationship for the reason that Chilly Conflict’s finish. As Russia makes its Pivot to the East, it’s doing its finest to make sure that its Western border with Ukraine is secured.

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Following the Russian motion in Ukraine, the inevitable US sanctions poured onto Russia. China refused to hitch them and refused to sentence Russia. This was no shock; in spite of everything Putin’s Russia and Xi’s China had been drawing ever nearer for years, most notably with commerce denominated in ruble-renminbi trade, thus shifting towards independence from the West’s greenback dominated commerce regime.

The World Majority Refuses to Again US Sanctions

However then an enormous shock. India joined China in refusing to honor the US sanctions regime. And India saved to its resolve regardless of huge strain together with calls from Biden to Modi and a practice of excessive stage US, UK and EU officers trekking off to India to bully, threaten and in any other case trying to intimidate India. India would face “penalties,” the drained US risk went up. India didn’t budge.

India’s shut navy and diplomatic ties with Russia had been solid throughout the anti-colonial struggles of the Soviet period. India’s financial pursuits in Russian exports couldn’t be countermanded by US threats. Now India and Russia at the moment are engaged on commerce through ruble-rupee trade. In actual fact, Russia has turned out to be an element that put India and China on the identical facet, pursuing their very own pursuits and independence within the face of US diktat. Furthermore with commerce in ruble-renminbi trade already a actuality and with ruble-rupee trade within the offing, are we about to witness a Renminbi-Ruble-Rupee world of commerce – a “3R” various to the Greenback-Euro monopoly? Is the world’s second most essential political relationship, that between India and China, about to take a extra peaceable path? What’s the world’s first most essential relationship?

India is however one instance of the shift in energy. Out of 195 nations, solely 30 have honored the US sanctions on Russia. Meaning about 165 nations on this planet have refused to hitch the sanctions. These nations characterize by far nearly all of the world’s inhabitants. Most of Africa, Latin America (together with Mexico and Brazil), East Asia (excepting Japan, South Korea, each occupied by US troops and therefore not sovereign, Singapore and the renegade Chinese language Province of Taiwan) have refused. (India and China alone characterize 35% of humanity.)

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Add to that indisputable fact that 40 completely different nations at the moment are the targets of US sanctions and there’s a highly effective constituency to oppose the thuggish financial techniques of the US

Lastly, on the current G-20 Summit a walkout led by the US when the Russia delegate spoke was joined by the representatives of solely 3 different G-20 nations, with 80% of those main monetary nations refusing to hitch! Equally, a US try and bar a Russian delegate from a G-20 assembly later within the yr in Bali was rebuffed by Indonesia which at present holds the G-20 Presidency.

Nations Taking Russia’s facet are not poor as in Chilly Conflict 1.0.

These dissenting nations of the World South are not as poor as they had been throughout the Chilly Conflict. Of the highest 10 nations in PPP-GDP, 5 do not assist the sanctions. And these embrace China (primary) and India (quantity 3). So the primary and third strongest economies stand in opposition to the US on this matter. (Russia is quantity 6 on that listing about equal to Germany, quantity 5, the 2 being near equal, belying the concept that Russia’s economic system is negligible.)

These stands are vastly extra important than any UN vote. Such votes might be coerced by an excellent energy and little consideration is paid to them on this planet. However the financial pursuits of a nation and its view of the primary hazard on this planet are essential determinants of the way it reacts economically – for instance to sanctions. A “no” to US sanctions is placing one’s cash the place one’s mouth is.

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We within the West hear that Russia is “remoted on this planet” because of the disaster in Ukraine. If one is talking concerning the Eurovassal states and the Anglosphere, that’s true. However contemplating humanity as an entire and among the many rising economies of the world, it’s the US that stands remoted. And even in Europe, cracks are rising. Hungary and Serbia haven’t joined the sanctions regime and naturally most European nations won’t and certainly can’t flip away from Russian vitality imports essential to their economies. It seems that the grand scheme of US world hegemony to be led to by the US transfer to WWII Redux, each Chilly and Sizzling, has hit a mighty snag.

For individuals who stay up for a multipolar world, it is a welcome flip of occasions rising out of the merciless tragedy of the US proxy warfare in Ukraine. The opportunity of a saner, extra affluent multipolar world lies forward – if we are able to get there.

John V. Walsh, till lately a professor of physiology and neuroscience on the College of Massachusetts Chan Medical Faculty, has written on problems with peace and well being look after Asia Occasions, San Francisco Chronicle, EastBayTimes/San Jose Mercury Information, LA Progressive, Antiwar.com, CounterPunch, and others.

First printed on Could 5, 2022.

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