Russian-led forces endure heavy losses making an attempt river crossing close to Severodonetsk
[ Update: Politico has run a feature story on this river crossing incident using the drone screen shots that Southfront used.
The Russian pull out from Karkiv continues under the justifcation of using the troops that had been there to ‘protect supply lines’, but did not say where. Were these inside the Russian border which Ukraine has been attacking, or are they to support the Donbass supply lines, where last time I looked they were all inside safe rear areas.
Not mentioned is that once the Karkiv Russian forces are pushed out, most of them can be reployed as reinforcements into the Donbass theater.
It is looking like the chances of capturing an army in a cauldron in the East are a myth as modern technology with the drones and super accurate weapons system have pretty much eliminated surprise ambushes and large ligtening armor maneuvers on the flanks.
I see an attrition war developing where NATO is going to match its 15 to 1 superiority to Russia’s. NATO troops have been in Ukraine for years, not counting the NATO intel people, and more will be going there to standup the Ukrainian forces.
The term ‘fighting to the last Ukrainian’ is not a figure of speech, it is NATO policy of using proxy stooges to fill the coffins with. Westerners volunteer to be financially bled to death as long as they don’t have to see flag drapped coffins, the kind that undermined the Vietnam War… Jim W. Dean ]
[ Editor’s Note: This will be a classic combat story from this war, Ukraine’s rivers, which can determine who wins and who loses in mechanized warfare. It appears the Russians, to avoid civilian casualties, are picking more isolated spots for crossing, which makes them stand out more for drone surveillance.
When you add in the time to put pontoons across, especially the three that seem to have been put here, bunched up and offering not only a huge bridge target, but the gathering of armor staging to cross, you become a dreamed of target by your opposition.
The Ukies seem to have had time to bring in long range artillery staged in various positions, not massed so as to offer a rich target themselves, and harder for the Donbass Republic forces to locate and then eliminate.
I continue to be surprised how armored groups continue to bunch up like this, a dream come true for the opposing side. With these pontoon bridges being so easy to take out, that greatly increases the risk that a large force that got across could then not be resupplied or get needed reinforcements, with bridges destroyed behind them.
Here is Defense Intel’s video analysis out of Singapore per commenter below. My comment would be his mentioned of this event not affecting the Russian offensive conflicts with weeks and weeks of reporting of the expected ‘cauldron’ battle where the Ukrain army in North east Donbass would be destroyed to the point of combat ineffectiveness.
But what we have seen is a quite slow process which generally we have viewed as to the Russian approach of wanting to keep combat loses as low as possible, in men and material.
So Defense Intel mention of this event is not is a stretch. The Russian gains are coming slowly, and there might be others reason for that. We have this week seen Russians retreating out of Karkiv from a Kiev offensive to the border for the media coverage that would bring.
Or maybe it is a feigned retreat to stretch these forces out and then counter attack and capture or wipe them out. There is typically not a one big day event where something like this would happen.
That said, the slow the campaign in the East goes the more time for NATO to arm Kiev, as are more of the EU countries. So we also have a weapons supply war going on. NATO has cleared out its old stuff and will have to started drawing down on it NATO defense stockpiles.
We see Russia having invested a lot of effort to blow that stuff up to avoid depleting it during battles where it absorbs losses. As the famous military saying goes: “The issue is still in doubt.”
That is the form of factor that occurs when armies haven’t been in energetic massive scale fight conditions for a very long time. For this reason navy commanders within the West love to leap into ‘small wars’ with little probability of reputations being harmed, so the troops and officers can get some dwell fireplace coaching. It makes all of the distinction when an even bigger warfare comes.
The photographs under are about as large a catastrophe as I can think about. If it’s a counter battery incapacity or failure, in that those that they had have been getting used some other place, what was realized right here is that such crossings ought to by no means be tried with out recon assurances that enemy artillery can not shortly carry them below bombardment.
This incident shall be utilized in Russian officer college coaching for a few years… Jim W. Dean ]
First revealed Could 13, 2022
The Russian-led forces are geared toward surrounding the Ukrainian grouping deployed within the Severodonetsk-Lisichansk area within the Luhansk Folks’s Republic. Regardless of the latest successes on a number of front-lines within the area, the Russian and LPR navy are caught within the city of Bilohorivka situated to the west of Severodonetsk.
The joint forces proceed unsuccessful makes an attempt to cross the river of Seversky Donets and acquire a foothold on the left financial institution. In accordance with Ukrainian navy sources, 5 makes an attempt of Russian forces to cross the river have been thwarted.
The Russian-led forces tried to ascertain no less than three pontoon crossings from 7 to 11 Could, which have been destroyed by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU).
On account of the shelling, the Russian-led models suffered heavy losses. In accordance with the drone footage from the spot, 73 models of Russian tools have been destroyed, together with:
- 38 infantry combating autos;
- 4 armored personnel carriers;
- 6 T-72 tanks;
- 3 vehicles ;
- 4 MT-LB (totally amphibious auxiliary armored tracked autos);
- 2 boats;
- 5 machines for the development of pontoon crossings;
- 1 armoured restoration autos;
- 9 different armoured combating autos.
In the meantime, LPR forces with help of Russian models together with the Particular Pressure reportedly launched an assault on the town of Severodonetsk. The Allied forces are advancing from three instructions from the north. Clashes broke out on the outskirts.
Throughout the retreat of the AFU, the bridge between Rubezhny and Severodonetsk was blown up. On the similar time, the roads resulting in Lisichansk are nearly below the Russian fireplace management. Fierce battles are occurring in Belogorovka and Shepilovo.
LPR forces are storming Privolye. The offensive from Popasnaya continues within the course of Kamyshevakha. There are battles for management over the villages of Orekhovo and Toshkovo.