Baiting the Russian Bear- How intelligent is that?

Have I missed one thing, or is our Authorities investing £billions of our cash in…

Have I missed one thing, or is our Authorities investing £billions of our cash in a belligerent marketing campaign in opposition to the world’s largest nation — and within the course of placing us all in hurt’s means — with out even a vote in Parliament?

Sure, the Home of Commons “thought of the scenario in Ukraine” again in March when MPs had been sizzling beneath the collar from the half-truths and one-sided reviews they had been fed. On that event the minister, James Cleverly, referred to as Russia’s intervention an unprovoked assault and instructed the Home: “We are going to proceed to supply deadly navy assist to Ukraine.” Is he conscious that Ukraine is a world-leading hotbed for arms smuggling and the weapons the West provides might effectively find yourself within the unsuitable palms?

And now that our sanctions in opposition to Russia have spectacularly backfired, what’s Parliament’s current temper?

The not too long ago introduced further £1.3bn in navy assist to Ukraine comes on prime of the UK’s current £1.5bn to Zelensky’s forces, and we’re even coaching his troops right here within the UK. Chancellor Rishi Sunak stated: “The scenario in Ukraine continues to trigger immense struggling with day-after-day bringing new, tragic tales of Putin’s brutality….. The UK is on the forefront offering financial, humanitarian and defensive assist to Ukraine and we’re working tirelessly to convey an finish to this battle.”

Are we actually? I actually hope so as a result of it’s inflicting immense struggling right here too…. or will do come the winter. However I’ve heard nothing concerning the UK selling peace initiatives. It’s all struggle discuss and by delivering arms to a rustic at struggle we expose ourselves as a belligerent. The Russian strikes in opposition to the Mykolayev airbase on 13 March had been launched after warnings that arms shipments can be handled as hostile targets.

What’s the background, in truth?

The British public aren’t any consultants on Russian affairs. Neither, it appears, are most British politicians. At the very least we needs to be instructed the back-story as impartially as potential. However no, nothing has been defined in a way we will all perceive.

As I see it, in 2014 the US was instrumental within the coup which overthrew the democratically elected Ukrainian authorities and led to civil struggle in jap Ukraine. That’s when a brand new authorities, following the American-sponsored overthrow of President Yanukovych, abolished Russian as an official language in Ukraine. This infuriated the Russian-speaking inhabitants and sparked clashes between pro-Russian protesters and Ukrainian authorities forces, resulting in the Russian-speaking areas (Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Lugansk and Donetsk) being brutally oppressed and militarised, with a lot of massacres significantly in Odessa and Mariupol.

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The 2 self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Lugansk (i.e. the Donbass) needed autonomy guaranteeing Russian as an official language. The Minsk 1 (September 2014) and Minsk 2 (February 2015) agreements weren’t about separation or independence however autonomy inside the Ukraine framework, with precise standing negotiated with Kiev. Russia urged the implementation of Minsk whereas declining to become involved within the negotiations, however the West tried to exchange the Minsk Agreements with their so-called Normandy Format which put Russians and Ukrainians face-to-face.

Since then there’s been a civil struggle with large lack of life. To compensate for heavy losses, the Ukrainian authorities resorted to recruiting international militias. Prof John Mearsheimer claims that “the [NATO] Alliance started coaching the Ukrainian navy in 2014, averaging 10,000 educated troops yearly over the following eight years”. By 2020 these accounted for about 40 % of the Ukrainian forces and numbered round 102,000 from many nationalities, in response to Reuters. They usually had been armed, financed and educated by the US, UK, Canada and France. These militias had been working within the Donbass since 2014, with Western assist.

And now the US and NATO nations are pouring $tens of billions value of weapons into Ukraine and offering extra assist in intelligence and navy recommendation to counter the Russia’s intervention and make sure the slaughter continues. Again in November 2020 Basic Secretary of NATO, Jens Stoltenberg, was telling the 66th Annual Session of the NATO Parliamentary Meeting: “We now have elevated our presence within the Black Sea area. We’re working with Ukraine, we’re working with Georgia…. We now have elevated our cooperation with our two valued companions, Ukraine, and Georgia.” He even instructed the European Parliament to “cease complaining and step up and supply assist to Ukraine”.

So Ukraine was already totally onboard with NATO and posing a menace to Russia.

On 16 February this yr the Ukrainians started shelling civilians in Donbass. Vladimir Putin might have invoked the worldwide obligation of ‘Accountability To Defend’ however hesitated. On 21 February he agreed to a request by the Duma to recognise the ‘independence’ of the 2 Donbass Republics and signed friendship, co-operation and help treaties with them. The Ukrainian bombardment of Donbass continued and on 23 February the Republics requested Russia for navy assist. On 24 February, Putin invoked Article 51 of the UN Constitution which permits mutual navy help within the framework of a defensive alliance.

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Many individuals seen all this as NATO intentionally upsetting Russia to invade (although ‘intervene’ could be a greater phrase) and so create the ‘proxy’ confrontation the US, particularly, was eager to result in.

Do please inform me if this considerably simplistic background is hopelessly unsuitable.

Promise to not increase NATO eastwards damaged

After the collapse of the Soviet Union there appeared little level in NATO as a navy alliance but, beneath digital US management and pursuing US navy goals, it continued encroaching eastwards regardless of pledging to not, inflicting Russia apparent concern.

Code Pink of their latest petition to US President Biden summed it up properly: “NATO has performed a serious position in exacerbating this battle, facilitating a 2014 coup to overthrow the democratically elected chief of Ukraine and breaking guarantees to not increase NATO into Jap Europe, the place offensive missiles in Romania and Poland might attain Russia in minutes.

“We reject the imposition of large sanctions which are harming the Russian individuals who, like us, need peace and safety. Blanket sanctions on the whole Russian financial system are spreading financial and environmental hardship to Europe and the worldwide group with vitality value hikes which will scale back vitality consumption within the quick time period however immediate extra oil drilling and deadly burning of fossil fuels in the long run.”

And as Noam Chomsky places it: “What’s the smartest thing to do to avoid wasting Ukraine from a grim destiny, from additional destruction?….. There are two methods for a struggle to finish: A technique is for one aspect or the opposite to be principally destroyed. And the Russians aren’t going to be destroyed. So which means a method is for Ukraine to be destroyed. The other means is a few negotiated settlement. If there’s a 3rd means, nobody’s ever figured it out.”

However why ought to folks in Britain (or wherever else for that matter) do NATO’s bidding realizing we’ll go hungry and freeze this winter? Why ought to we encourage and pay for an limitless struggle solely to see our value of residing sky-rocket? We’re struggling roaring inflation and financial spoil as a result of the British Authorities picks a quarrel with the Russian Bear whereas over-reliant on it for vitality, meals and a bunch of different necessities. How intelligent was that, particularly at a time after we’re struggling to get well from the financial penalties of Covid?

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Furthermore, the mega-spend on Ukraine comes out of our reserves. No-one minds supporting the Ukrainian folks within the humanitarian sense however why are we funding the nation’s crazed management solely to delay the distress and guarantee their total nation is devastated? Is all this simply an elaborate train to create one other bonanza for the Wests’ military-industrial complicated?

Our Authorities have pledged to assist rebuild Ukraine. The price? $750 billion in response to Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal. The place’s it coming from? Not my tax cash thank-you. I would like that spent right here at dwelling the place it issues! And what’s Zelensky going to do with it? Flip Ukraine into “a second Israel”, he says. Doesn’t that set off the alarm?

In case Mr Sunak has forgotten, we’re broke. We’re in debt to the tune of £2.5 trillion and our financial system might collapse. The Ukraine-Russia squabble is a grimy, complicated affair involving deeply disagreeable factions on all sides and, so far as I can see, has nothing to do with us. The more and more aggressive US-led NATO, however, is decided to make use of Ukraine as a proxy to pursue their outdated hatred of Russia, no matter the associated fee to everybody else.

Stuart Littlewood
4 August 2022

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